A timeline of the human condition.

Don’t Give Up

1. Don’t settle early. Explore.
2. Explore till you find the intersection of high competence and high passion.
3. Double down on that, and you will eventually unlock capital, while feeling fulfilled.

2,884 kcal per day is the global average food supply per person. While it’s enough for everyone, you have to factor in that humans are irrational and tribal – one country throws tons in the trash while another struggles.

Our World in Data

55% of the world population live in urban areas. In 1960 it was 34%. Source.

The UN projects that the global population will be 10.8 billion by 2100. By this time, the population growth rate will have slowed to near zero.

What it does mean, however, is that cities will only get larger through urban sprawling. In fact there will be mega cities.

Young Minds Post-Covid

In reality, Young people are not taking more risks. They are simply refusing to pay for the illusion of safety.

Why would you sacrifice your best years for a corporate job if that job is not likely to be there in five — let alone ten — years? Why put your money on safe assets when they are guaranteed to diminish your purchasing power? Why would you trust the government to catch you if you fall when they can’t fulfil basic functions regardless?

Interesting thoughts. Source

Oversight

Below is an insightful comment I found on Reddit:

Once a company acquires a lease, it then carries those subsurface reserves as assets on its balance sheet. By doing this, a company can immediately improve its overall financial health, boost its attractiveness to shareholders and investors, and even increase its ability to borrow on favorable terms.

While industry leaders have suggested it was “absurd” to think companies would continue to shell out millions of dollars in rental fees and lease acquisitions solely to pad their balance sheets,6 the relatively low cost of federal land nonetheless provides a strong incentive for companies to do just that. Because of this, companies have the potential to directly benefit from amassing these undeveloped reserves through federal land leases, while the U.S. taxpayer loses out on revenue that could—and should—be generated from wells actually producing oil and gas products.

Meanwhile, these undeveloped leases tie up land that the federal government would otherwise manage for conservation, recreation, or other beneficial uses as required under the BLM’s multiple-use mandate.

Even as the average annual price for oil produced in the United States tripled in a decade, the minimum price the federal government charged for leases remained stagnant. In fact, for decades, the minimum bid to lease public land for fossil fuel production has been just $2 an acre. That’s a cup of coffee.

Annual rental fees, which companies pay to hold and explore federal lands before production, are just as low. And the royalty rate for oil and gas produced onshore has remained at just 12.5 percent since 1920. Those bargain prices give private companies a windfall while depriving American taxpayers of a fair return from energy production.

Instead, the public has been left to pay for many of the social and environmental costs of fossil fuel operations, from road damage to respiratory problems.

Life & Work

I found this sentence in Ray Dalio’s book and realised how self-aware the man is.

Whatever success I’ve had in life has had more to do with my knowing how to deal with my not knowing than anything I know. The most important thing I learned is an approach to life based on principles that helps me find out what’s true and what to do about it.

I wonder how the economic setup of the news media industry drives the tone of the coverage.

Long

I’ve been reading about long covid but deep down I also wonder the impacts of long Brexit.